Mideast carriers to pilot aviation growth in 2018

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The organisation - which represents more than 270 airlines accounting for 83pc of global air passenger traffic - said that passenger demand jumped 7.2pc in October compared to October 2016, with demand in Europe rising 6.2pc year-on-year.

The industry will see net profits rising 11.3 per cent to $38.4 billion (Dh141.04 billion) in 2018, marking slight improvement from the $34.5 billion it will make this year (revised up from the $31.4 billion forecast in June). Of the $38.4bn, $27.9bn will come from North American and European airlines.

The global air transport industry predicts a continued upturn next year with greater profitability, propelled by positive factors including worldwide economic growth.

After declining for six years in a row, passenger yields, a measure of ticket pricing, are also expected to rise 3 percent next year after falling 1.5 per cent in 2017. Passengers have directly contributed to the growth in profit, as the average net profit per departing passenger is expected to rise to $8.90 (up from $8.45 in 2017).

For cargo volume, the strong growth seen in 2017 was due to unexpectedly strong demand that pushed companies to restock inventories quickly, IATA said.

"These are good times for the global air transport industry", said the IATA's chief executive Alexandre de Juniac. Passenger traffic (revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) is expected to rise 6.0 per cent (slightly down on the 7.5 per cent growth of 2017 but still ahead of the average of the past 10-20 years of 5.5 per cent), which will exceed a capacity expansion (available seat kilometers or ASKs) of 5.7 per cent.


While the demand in the cargo markets remains strong, several indicators show that it may have passed the growth peak. Cargo volume is expected to grow 4.5% y-o-y to 62.5 million tonnes.

Airlines in all regions recorded growth.

For the first time, more than four billion passengers will be travelling this year, according to the aviation watchdog, and that number is expected to go up to 4.3 billion next year.

African airlines' traffic grew 7.5% year-on-year in October, up from 3.6% in September. "However, given increases in airline input costs, and by contrast to the situation in recent years, we are unlikely to see a boost from to demand from lower airfares", Oxley said.

At the moment, however, traffic in India is growing at the fastest rate in the world.

"Overall unit costs are expected to grow by 4.3 per cent in 2018 [a significant acceleration on the 1.7 per cent increase in 2017]".

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